British Study Predicts 22 Million Dying Of Coronavirus In US And 5 Million In Britain

A crucial projection study by Neil Ferguson, a professor of mathematical biology at Imperial College London prompted the British government to impose more stringent measures to contain COVID-19 outbreak.

Study on COVID-19

The study compares the coronavirus epidemic with the devastating flue of 1918 and draws strong parallels between the two outbreaks. The report paints a worse picture of COVID-19. Based on data collected from Italy that is the worst hit country after China, the report predicts about half a million deaths in Britain and 2.2 million in the US, if no mitigating measures are taken at all.

The report further says that even the government’s previous measures – home isolation of suspects – could result in 250,000 deaths and the health system crumbling under the pressure. But the new measures by the British government could flatten the peak.

Britain announces new measures to curb COVID-19

Prime Minister Boris Johnson closed down social life to save the world’s fifth largest economy from the outbreak. Also, people over 70-years with health issues are advised to go in isolation. People are advised to follow social distancing by avoiding clubs, pubs and theaters.

The study helped the British government changed its position on the outbreak. Those in the government said that it had acted on the advice of the experts.

British government criticized

Earlier the government was criticized for not taking swift actions to contain the spread of COVId-19. Some health experts said that Italy, Spain and France were taking better lock-down measures in comparison to Britain.

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What Are Different Stages Of Coronavirus Outbreak?

Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) said that India was at the second stage of coronavirus pandemic. At this stage, there’s no fear of community transmission.

Stage 2 of coronavirus outbreak

ICMR Director General Balram Bhargava explained that India was on Stage 2 of the outbreak and not on Stage 3 where there was fear of community outbreak. Also, Mr. Bhargava hoped that Stage 3 would never arrive in India.

He further said that preventing the outbreak from reaching to Stage 3 depended on India’s response like closing borders and proactive stage. But he said that it was difficult to say that community transmission won’t happen.

Different stages of an outbreak

Stage 1: Transmission is imported from foreign nations through air traffic.

Stage 2: Local transmission starts after people start coming into contact with affected persons. For example, family members, friends, neighbors and colleagues of infected persons are tested positive for the infection.

In local transmission, the virus spread remains limited to certain pockets. Since its source is visible, it is easier to contain the virus at this level as opposed to community transmission.

Stage 3: It is the stage of community transmission where people start getting infection even without coming into contact with infected persons or getting exposed to infection.

At this stage, it becomes very difficult to track source of infection. Italy and Spain are in the Stage 3 of coronavirus spread.

Stage 4: It is the worst stage where disease becomes an endemic and there seems no end point. China is at the Stage 4 of COVID-19.

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Trial Of Coronavirus Vaccine Begins In US

US health officials made an announcement about start of the first human trial of a candidate vaccine against the new coronavirus in Seattle. This test is a ray of hope in the global fight against the disease.

But the vaccine has to pass more trials in phases before it is termed safe and it could take from 12 to 18 months before it is made available for public.

COVID-19 vaccine

US National Institutes of Health (NIH) in collaboration with Cambridge, Massachusetts based biotechnology company Modern has been developing a vaccine called mRNA-1273 to defeat COVID-19.

The trial involves 45 healthy adult volunteers between the age group of 18 to 55 years. They will be kept under observation for a period of 6 weeks and the trail on the first volunteer would start on Wednesday. Funding for the trial was provided by the Oslo-based Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI).

COVID-19 has already infected more than 175,000 people and claimed over 7,000 lives so far. But there is no approved vaccine for this infection. Head of infectious diseases at the NIH said that finding a safe and effective vaccine to prevent infection was an urgent public health priority.

The Moderna vaccine will use a messenger RNA that contains the genetic information of the spike. The messenger will grow the spike inside the human body and elicit response without actually infecting a person with the full-blown virus. US-based Gilead Sciences has already developed an antiviral treatment called remdesivir and it is in the final stages of developing the vaccine.

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Canadian PM Announces Shutdown From Quarantine

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau announced that Canada was closing its borders to most foreigners except for Americans. Stay home as much as possible advised Justin. The Canadian PM and his family are under isolation after his wife Sophie tested positive for COVID-19.

Canada takes strict measure

The move comes after the number of coronavirus cases in Canada jumped from a few dozen two weeks ago to more than 400 and four deaths. Earlier the virus was traced to foreign travels but today local transmission of the virus is also traced.

Exemptions to US

Justin said that US citizens were exempted because Canada had high level of integration of the two economies and the coordination that they had. Also, the exemptions are provided to air crews, diplomats and immediate family members of Canadian citizens. Also, truck drivers that make regular deliveries across Canada borders. Also, the government will help its citizens that are stranded overseas because they are suspect.

Continental response

The measure is called continental response to the deadly outbreak. The Transport Minister Marc Garneau told that the measure would take effect starting midday on Wednesday. And the response integrates critical supply chains to continue supply of food and essential goods that Canadians need in their daily life.

Canada has begun to shut down after the announcement. Everything including courthouses to gyms and from restaurants to schools, every business is shutting down. Airlines are directed to Montreal, Toronto, Calgary and Vancouver that have good public screening methods.

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Tom Hanks Recovers From COVID-19 But His Wife Still Suffers From The Infection

Tom Hanks, who was recently down with COVID-19 along with his wife Rita Wilson, has been released from the isolation. The couple was in Brisbane, Australia when they got infected with deadly coronavirus. While Tom Hanks was released from quarantine in an Australian hospital, his wife is still under recuperating from the infection.

Tom and Wilson in Australia

He was busy shooting for the biopic of Elvis Presley when he and Wilson, both 63, got COVID-19. Wilson is a singer and songwriter. She performed in many concerts in Sydney and Brisbane before getting infection. The Australian authorities had been tracking people they were in contact with as their contacts could also get infected.

The couple thanked their Australian caregivers and urge their fans to follow the advice of experts. They posted their run-in with COVID-19 on social media.

They were staying in a Gold Coast penthouse while working on the Lurhmann film in which Tom Hanks is essaying the role of Elvis’ long-time manager, Colonel Tom Parker. Tom is believed to have returned to the penthouse after getting discharged from the hospital.

Australia has a total of 400 COVID-19 cases but number of deaths reported is only 5.

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Coronavirus Infects Spreads To Uttarakhand

The total number of coronavirus cases in India rose to 110 that includes 17 foreigners – 16 Italian tourists and a Canadian. Uttarakhand reported its first case of COVID-19 on Sunday. The number of people died due to coronavirus is two – one each from Delhi and Karnataka.

Coronavirus spread in the country

With 32 positive cases, Maharashtra has the highest number of COVID-19cases in the country. Kerala has recorded 22 cases and it includes three patients that were discharged last month. Uttar Pradesh has 12 coronavirus patients and Delhi has 7. Ladakh has 3 patients of coronavirus and Jammu and Kashmir and Telangana have two each. Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh and Punjab have reported one case each.

Steps taken to contain the virus

According to health ministry data, 12,76,046 passengers have been screened at 30 designated airports. The government has traced the 4,000 people that came into contact with 93 COVID-19 patients. Also, there are 42,000 people under community surveillance.

The data further says that are sufficient personal protective equipment (PPEs). Also, that over 80,50,000 N95 masks and PPEs have been procured for health workers.

The government said that there was little need to panic because it wasn’t a community transmission. The infection had been tracked and there had been only a few cases of local transmission. It further said that it wasn’t a health emergency in India.

It also clarified that the suspected case of COVID-19, a 71-year man in Maharashtra, was tested negative. He returned from Saudi Arabia recently and died in a private hospital.

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COVID-19 Test Only For Selected Persons

A suspected case of coronavirus was turned back by RML hospital because he had no history of foreign travel and nor was in contact with a coronavirus patient. The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) has directed the hospitals to test those selected cases.

ICMR guidelines for coronavirus testing

The government body said that all the people with viral symptoms need not to be tested for COVID-19 because there had been on “community transmission” in India. “Community transmission” is a case where the source of a disease remains obscure.

Special Secretary in the Union Health Ministry, Sanjeev Kumar, said that the country is utilizing only 10% of its total capacity to test COVID-19. He further said that the coronavirus test is free and that the country has a much higher capacity but it was utilizing only 10% of it. Also, 80 lakh masks and safety equipment had been bought for health workers.

Experts criticized the approach

Ramanan Lakshminarayan, founder and director of the Center for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy (CDDEP) criticized the approach saying that the people would spread the disease, if they didn’t know that they were infected. He said that the country was capable in both public and private but the question was that whether the country was deploying that capacity.

The government said that 10,000 tests could be performed daily utilizing 1 lack kits distributed across many centres. But the government should conduct tens of thousands of tests daily before the situation goes out of control.

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Taylor Swift Donned These Outfits During Her Performance Tour

Taylor Swift can make the world sing and dance on her performance. Also, she can dazzle the audiences with her iconic looks. The Blank Space singer has received multiple awards in multiple tours in the latest Reputation Stadium Tour, she was more popular due to her outfits.

Taylor and Camila in Miami

Dressed in a violet-pink leotard, she gave a stunning performance with singers Camila Cabello and Charli XCX but it was her outfit that remained the center of attraction for the audiences in Miami.

Black Space singer chose a rainbow

In Manchester, Taylor Swift donned a rainbow sequined leotard and put on black boots to complete the dress. Her dress made the audiences crazy more than her performance with Camila and XCX. The audiences were talking more about her rainbow dress.

Singing in the rain

Since it was raining all the time, most of the Reputation Tour was washed in rain but Taylor Swift turned the moment into an opportunity to reveal her true colors. She put on a blue leotard and a shimmery jacket to complete the Rockstar look. The audience appreciated her performance in rain.

Singing with Selena

Taylor Swift and Selena Gomez make the best pair and this was evident when the Blank Space singer performed alongside Selena. And Swift was looking simply amazing in a snake-print leotard and black boots along with a shimmery jacket. And both the singers surprised the audiences with their eclectic performance.

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Britain Will See More Deaths From COVID-19: Boris Johnson

On Thursday, UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson warned of more deaths due to coronavirus while the chief scientific advisor of the government said that there could be 10,000 coronavirus infections in Britain.

Also, Britain and EU agreed to cancel face-to-face trade negotiations in the wake of the COVID-19 outbreak. The negotiations were planned for next week in London.

UK PM Boris Johnson’s warning

He said that the virus was going to spread further. Flanked by the top scientific and medical advisors of the government, he made an announcement regarding the “delay-phase” of the government.

The British plan of containing the outbreak will work in three phases – containment, delay and mitigation. In the delay phase, the government will implement social distancing measures like reducing large gatherings and closing schools.

But he said that no public meetings would be cancelled and schools would remain open. At the same time, he warned that the advice could change if the virus spread further.

Boris Johnson faced criticism for delayed response

He agreed that the outbreak has triggered panic in the business, trade and every day life and the global market. But he defended his late response. He said that he was working on the advice and he would do the right thing at the right time.

He said that people with mild symptoms should isolate themselves in their homes but this advice would change with the spread of virus. In worse situation, the families would be advised to isolate themselves.

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India Suspends All Visas For A Month Over Coronavirus Scare

The government suspends all Indian visas in the wake of spread of coronavirus spread in the country and the World Health Organization declaring it a pandemic. All existing visas — except diplomatic, official, UN/International organisations, employment and project visas — will be suspended till April 15.

The visa suspension will come into effect from 1200 GMT on 13th March 2020 at the port of departure. Earlier the visa facility was partially suspended from the COVID-19 nations.

Highlights of the news

• The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic. It means that it has affected the globe and infected a large number of people.

• The government communique related to visa suspension reads that visa free travel facility granted to OCI card holders is kept in abeyance till 15 April 2020.

• It also said that all incoming travellers from COVID-19 nations after February 15, would be kept in quarantine for a minimum of 14 days.

• International traffic through land borders will be directed to designated check posts with robust screening facility.

• India has a total of 67 confirmed coronavirus cases. Fresh cases are reported from Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Kerala and Karnataka.

• The Maharashtra government has banned ticket sale for IPL 2020 opening match between Mumbai Indians and Chennai Super Kings in the wake of rising coronavirus cases.

• Health being on the State List, every state is asked to take whatever measure it can take to contain the spread of coronavirus infection.

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